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Call Audit
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Passport #175516 · Aug 4, 2026 · 15:13 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
#Bitcoin CVDD is currently at $49k 👀
I don't know what the catalyst will be, but in the next few months CVDD will be tested https://t.co/LttR4h5gAa
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster states CVDD at $49k 'will be tested' in the next few months, implying a decline to that level. Declarative language ('will be tested') and clear single target at $49k.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to test CVDD at $49k. 'In the next few months' is bound to the outcome → §3.2: 'coming months / next few months / in months' = 90 days.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,066 |
| Target | $49,000 – $49,000 |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $64,066 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 334.06,
"mfe": 251.65,
"mqs": 0.315006,
"ocs": 0.429649,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-04 15:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.010381,
"sigma_d": 0.02076406,
"eval_end": "2026-08-04 19:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.315006,
"max_close": 64364.18,
"min_close": 63945.53,
"eval_start": "2026-08-04 15:13:19+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.378345,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.188759,
"activation_price": 64065.94,
"dir_target_score": 0.007992,
"candles_evaluated": 18,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010382,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}