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Call Audit
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Passport #174673 · Aug 3, 2026 · 13:07 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
$BTC 1W chart
Looks like this week we’re gonna lose the 200-Week MA 👀
Just like in Summer 2022, we lost the 200MA in June and then tried to regain it in July, but failed.
I’m still expecting new lows 📉 🤷♂️ https://t.co/RCjCphiT0J
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call — 'expecting new lows' clearly indicates down direction. 'Expecting' with shrug emoji suggests mild hedge. No specific price targets stated; 200-Week MA is a technical reference, not a target.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC makes new lows. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase; 'this week' describes the trigger (losing the 200-Week MA), not the new-lows outcome. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,782 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,782 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1277.29,
"mfe": 220.04,
"mqs": 0.286647,
"ocs": 0.146955,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-03 13:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.009262,
"sigma_d": 0.02075202,
"eval_end": "2026-08-03 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.286647,
"max_close": 63967.19,
"min_close": 62769,
"eval_start": "2026-08-03 13:07:02+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.337779,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.110716,
"activation_price": 62782.46,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 25,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010376,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}