Call Audit

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Passport #166178 · Jul 25, 2026 · 15:32 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@cryptobullet1

Jul 25, 2026 · 15:32 UTC

$BTC Summer 2022 vs Summer 2026 50-Week MA is accelerating to the downside 📉 The same negative slope: -45° Trend remains bearish. The final leg down of the Bear Market is coming 🤫 https://t.co/lkjVv510iO

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@cryptobullet1's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Bearish call with clear language: 'Trend remains bearish' and 'final leg down of the Bear Market is coming' = declarative down direction. No specific price targets stated in the post.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC makes a final leg down in the bear market. No explicit horizon is attached to the outcome. 'Final leg down of the Bear Market' is macro/cycle framing (bear market), and the comparison to Summer 2022 suggests a multi-month thesis; Signal B2 (trend reversal/bottom call framing) with macro pairing pushes to 60, but the earnest macro register ('Bear Market', cycle comparison) points more toward Signal H — however the evaluable outcome is the downward leg itself, not a bull market payoff, so B2 wins with ↑ to 60 for macro/cycle framing. Actually, re-evaluating: 'final leg down of the Bear Market' is a directional down claim with macro/cycle framing and no bounce/recovery element, so Signal H (bear market as the claim) applies at base 120, with no ↓ cue firing, yielding 120.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$64,216
Target	—
Duration	90 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	90

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$64,216
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 259.72,
  "mfe": 92.56,
  "mqs": 0.128485,
  "ocs": 0.262745,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-25 16:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.003809,
  "sigma_d": 0.02096229,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-25 19:15:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.128485,
  "max_close": 64438.1,
  "min_close": 64142.26,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-25 15:32:34+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 90,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.137523,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.09876,
  "activation_price": 64215.56,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 15,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.010481,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}