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Passport #142795 · Jun 30, 2026 · 11:30 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CR@cryptobullet1
Jun 30, 2026 · 11:30 UTC
𝕏 $BTC Q2 is about to close bearish - lowest quarterly close since Q4 2023!
IMO in Q3 $BTC will dip into the MA30-EMA30 Band 📉
You better be prepared 😁 https://t.co/pu9zvZOYzs
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 92 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call for Q3 ('will dip'). 'IMO' softens to mild_hedge. Target is described as the MA30-EMA30 Band, an indicator zone with no explicit price numbers, so target_lo and target_hi are null.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC dips into the MA30-EMA30 Band. 'In Q3' is bound to the outcome; D = 2026-06-30, Q3 ends Sep 30 2026, which is 92 days out → explicit_timeframe = 92.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $59,249 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 92 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 92 |
| Duration used in scoring | 92 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $59,249 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 4212.85,
"mfe": 1448.95,
"mqs": 0.775965,
"ocs": 0.255917,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.063838,
"sigma_d": 0.02160842,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.775965,
"max_close": 63439.87,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-30 11:30:49+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 92,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.495952,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.27393,
"activation_price": 59249.14,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 456,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.016348,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}