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Passport #147423 · Jul 8, 2026 · 14:40 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CR@crypto_iso
Jul 8, 2026 · 14:40 UTC
𝕏 I don't think I would take a look at anything until BTC runs Monday low.
Asia literally sells every session.
Trump has told you they likely keep attacking and crypto is basically the levered asset to war headlines.
Add in a potential weekend fear phase then it seems smart to wait.
A lot of the targets people have been waiting for since last week and constant up might get hit now.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author expects BTC to run Monday's low (sweep downward) citing Asia selling, war headlines, and weekend fear — clear down bias. No explicit price target is given (Monday's low isn't stated as a number), so targets are null. 'Seems smart to wait' and 'might get hit' indicate mild hedging rather than declarative certainty.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves down to sweep Monday's low. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. The reference to 'Monday low' and 'weekend fear phase' implies a very near-term move within days; urgency register ('wait,' imminent downside) combined with a specific near-term level suggests Signal C base 14, but the short-term nature (days, not weeks) and the specific Monday reference push toward 7.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $61,909 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $61,909 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 733.01,
"mfe": 364.43,
"mqs": 0.377256,
"ocs": 0.332073,
"tif": 0.2,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-08 15:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.055726,
"sigma_d": 0.02485767,
"eval_end": "2026-07-09 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.377256,
"max_close": 62500,
"min_close": 61608.14,
"eval_start": "2026-07-08 14:40:28+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.47362,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.241264,
"activation_price": 61908.99,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 60,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.012429,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 5,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 5,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 5
}