Passport #175537 · Aug 4, 2026 · 17:40 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 2 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
The post frames the current move as the 'last leg of the exit pump' implying an imminent reversal down. However, the caveat 'Bears need to show up now / Or the whole trap collapses' hedges the call — it's conditional on bears stepping in. No numeric targets provided.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC reverses down from the 'exit pump.' No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. 'Last leg' and 'bears need to show up now' carry urgency/imminent reversal register → Signal C base 14, no tiebreakers fire.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 930.41,
"mfe": 214.81,
"mqs": 0.220173,
"ocs": 0.187571,
"tif": 0.083333,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-05 13:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.059347,
"sigma_d": 0.01473418,
"eval_end": "2026-08-06 17:40:18+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.220173,
"max_close": 64982.11,
"min_close": 63972.09,
"eval_start": "2026-08-04 17:40:18+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 2,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.248684,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.137606,
"activation_price": 64094.81,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 192,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.013477,
"scoring_candle_tf": "30m",
"tif_total_aggregated": 96,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 96,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 8,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 96
}