Passport #143921 · Jul 2, 2026 · 14:26 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $63,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Hold Below |
AI Reasoning
Trigger is $63k as an invalidation ceiling — as long as price holds below $63k (resistance), forecaster expects one more low to complete HTF structure. No numeric target specified for the low.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC makes one more low (downward move to complete wave 4). No horizon phrase is attached to the outcome — 'above $63k' is the invalidation/trigger condition, not a timeframe. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 3812.14,
"mfe": 1837.17,
"mqs": 0.571485,
"ocs": 0.325203,
"tif": 0.129032,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-06 13:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.132402,
"sigma_d": 0.02737545,
"eval_end": "2026-08-04 00:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.571485,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 61456,
"eval_start": "2026-07-05 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 63144.01,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-05 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.847428,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.289531,
"activation_price": 63144.01,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2881,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.034333,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": 2,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 4,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}