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Passport #138418 · Jun 23, 2026 · 12:00 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CR@crypto_R0d
Jun 23, 2026 · 12:00 UTC
𝕏 bitcoin:native
I'm still short since the local tops
But bears must wake up and push lower fast
Lose control here and we see $70k next
Stay tuned. https://t.co/IPD5A6J7Lv
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $62,346 |
| Trigger Operator | Hold Above |
AI Reasoning
Single conditional claim: 'Lose control here' is a break-below trigger but no explicit numeric level is stated, so trigger is null. $70k is the predicted downside target after the trigger fires.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to $70k after losing control at current level. Per §0.5, 'here' is fused to the trigger ('lose control here'), not the outcome. No horizon phrase bound to the $70k target. No bounce/bottom/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
Gate 1: BTC/USDT on 8h timeframe identified from top-left. Gate 2: Asset matches Stage 3 BTC. Gate 3: Chart shows Elliott-wave style projection with B point near current price acting as a pivot before downward arrow to ~56k, satisfying trigger structure detection. Gate 4: Down-direction claim consistent with projected downward arrow. Trigger recovered at ~62k (B point level), though ambiguity exists.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $62,735 |
| Target | $70,000 – $70,000 |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $62,346 |
| Trigger operator | Hold Above |
| Conditional operator | Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Support |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jun 24, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.27composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.35 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.28 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.26 |
| Magnitude | 0.35 |
| Max Favorable Move | +3.1% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −7.9% |
| Candles evaluated | 1345 · 8h |
| Eval window | Jun 24, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jul 8, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 14 |
| Duration used in scoring | 14 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeA |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,432 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: chart_trigger_confidence
Merge Flags
trigger_from_chart: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 4934.38,
"mfe": 1965.43,
"mqs": 0.35181,
"ocs": 0.284853,
"tif": 0.255814,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-06 21:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.206902,
"sigma_d": 0.02012986,
"eval_end": "2026-07-08 00:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.35181,
"max_close": 64489.98,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-24 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 62734.57,
"trigger_ts": "2026-06-24 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": true,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.433571,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.274845,
"activation_price": 62734.57,
"dir_target_score": 0.241611,
"candles_evaluated": 1345,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.072259,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": 1,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 11,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}