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Call Audit

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Passport #151177 · Jul 12, 2026 · 19:17 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

CR
@crypnuevo
Jul 12, 2026 · 19:17 UTC
𝕏
$BTC Sunday update: Everything is going as projected and I don't see any reason to change bias/position so I'm sticking to the Three Taps Pattern thesis and expecting Bitcoin to trade towards the mid-range at $69k. In fact, I see 2 new arguments supporting this idea: 🧵↓(1/5)
🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@crypnuevo's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

AssetBTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

TypeDirectional
ActivationActive Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

AssetBTC
DirectionLong
Commitmentdeclarative
Duration30 days · Medium Term
Trigger—
Trigger Operator—

AI Reasoning

Author expects BTC to trade toward $69k mid-range, implying a decline from current levels. 'Expecting' with firm conviction ('sticking to thesis', 'don't see any reason to change bias') reads as declarative rather than hedged. Single target of $69k extracted.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC trades down toward $69k. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present; no bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires. DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

AssetBTC
DirectionLong
ActivationActive Immediately
Activation price$64,206
Target$69,000 – $69,000
Duration30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.43composite Call Rank Score
Move Score (MQS)0.48
Path Score (OCS)0.54
Time Score (TIF)0.52
Magnitude0.48
Max Favorable Move+4.3%
Max Unfavorable Move−3.7%
Candles evaluated2880 · 1d
Eval windowJul 12, 2026 · 19:17 UTC → Aug 11, 2026 · 19:17 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration sourcechart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)30
Duration used in scoring30

Pipeline

Pipeline path3A->4A
Merge sourcemerged
Direction sourcepost_text
Target sourcepost_text
Commitment leveldeclarative
Spot price at post$64,206
Stage 0 passedYes

Review Provenance

gate_4_blocking_flags: target_wrong_side_down (scored)
Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 2381.32,
  "mfe": 2749.86,
  "mqs": 0.483796,
  "ocs": 0.535912,
  "tif": 0.516129,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-21 14:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.193576,
  "sigma_d": 0.021846,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-11 19:17:27+00:00",
  "end_close": 63248.54,
  "magnitude": 0.483796,
  "max_close": 66944.4,
  "min_close": 61904.99,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-12 19:17:27+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "end_close_ts": "2026-08-11 19:15:00+00:00",
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.661253,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.432353,
  "activation_price": 64206.29,
  "dir_target_score": 0.571188,
  "candles_evaluated": 2880,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.064769,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 16,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}