Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #151177 · Jul 12, 2026 · 19:17 UTC · scored as of Jul 18, 2026 · 20:43 UTC

@crypnuevo

Jul 12, 2026 · 19:17 UTC

$BTC Sunday update: Everything is going as projected and I don't see any reason to change bias/position so I'm sticking to the Three Taps Pattern thesis and expecting Bitcoin to trade towards the mid-range at $69k. In fact, I see 2 new arguments supporting this idea: 🧵↓(1/5)

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Author expects BTC to trade toward $69k mid-range, implying a decline from current levels. 'Expecting' with firm conviction ('sticking to thesis', 'don't see any reason to change bias') reads as declarative rather than hedged. Single target of $69k extracted.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC trades down toward $69k. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present; no bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires. DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$64,206
Target	$69,000 – $69,000
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$64,206
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_4_blocking_flags: target_wrong_side_down (scored)

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 218.71,
  "mfe": 2381.32,
  "mqs": 0.822078,
  "ocs": 0.915882,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-13 18:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.168162,
  "sigma_d": 0.021846,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-14 05:15:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.822078,
  "max_close": 64295,
  "min_close": 61904.99,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-12 19:17:27+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {
    "target_wrong_side_down": true
  },
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.726411,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.72653,
  "activation_price": 64206.29,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 136,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.021483,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 3,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 3,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 3,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
}