Passport #171163 · Jul 30, 2026 · 16:23 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster anticipates BTC tagging $65,174 which is higher than current price context, making this an up call. 'Anticipating' language qualifies as mild hedge rather than firm declaration. Single explicit target of 65174.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC tags $65,174. 'In the near future' is vague forward language with no bounce/bottom/urgency/macro register → Signal D, DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2610.39,
"mfe": 524.17,
"mqs": 0.577873,
"ocs": 0.167223,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-31 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.076405,
"sigma_d": 0.01541198,
"eval_end": "2026-08-06 16:23:06+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.577873,
"max_close": 65189.32,
"min_close": 62340.01,
"eval_start": "2026-07-30 16:23:06+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.862448,
"target_hit_ts": "2026-07-31 01:15:00+00:00",
"accuracy_score": 0.205375,
"activation_price": 64885.39,
"dir_target_score": 1,
"candles_evaluated": 672,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.009367,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}