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Call Audit

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Passport #171163 · Jul 30, 2026 · 16:23 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

CA
@castillotrading
Jul 30, 2026 · 16:23 UTC
𝕏
No real change on $BTC at the moment. Only nPOC level within range is higher up at $65,174. So, anticipating for that to get tagged in the near future. #Bitcoin https://t.co/BAYK8RntZX
🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@castillotrading's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

AssetBTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

TypeDirectional
ActivationActive Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

AssetBTC
DirectionLong
Commitmentmild_hedge
Duration7 days · Short Term
Trigger
Trigger Operator

AI Reasoning

Forecaster anticipates BTC tagging $65,174 which is higher than current price context, making this an up call. 'Anticipating' language qualifies as mild hedge rather than firm declaration. Single explicit target of 65174.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC tags $65,174. 'In the near future' is vague forward language with no bounce/bottom/urgency/macro register → Signal D, DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

AssetBTC
DirectionLong
ActivationActive Immediately
Activation price$64,885
Target$65,174 – $65,174
Duration7 days · Short Term

Scoring

0.21composite Call Rank Score
Move Score (MQS)0.58
Path Score (OCS)0.17
Time Score (TIF)0.00
Magnitude0.58
Max Favorable Move+0.8%
Max Unfavorable Move−4.0%
Candles evaluated672 · 4h
Eval windowJul 30, 2026 · 16:23 UTCAug 6, 2026 · 16:23 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration sourcechart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)7
Duration used in scoring7

Pipeline

Pipeline path3A->4A
Merge sourcemerged
Direction sourcepost_text
Target sourcepost_text
Commitment levelmild_hedge
Spot price at post$64,885
Stage 0 passedYes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 2610.39,
  "mfe": 524.17,
  "mqs": 0.577873,
  "ocs": 0.167223,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-31 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.076405,
  "sigma_d": 0.01541198,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-06 16:23:06+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.577873,
  "max_close": 65189.32,
  "min_close": 62340.01,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-30 16:23:06+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 14,
  "mew_days_used": 7,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.862448,
  "target_hit_ts": "2026-07-31 01:15:00+00:00",
  "accuracy_score": 0.205375,
  "activation_price": 64885.39,
  "dir_target_score": 1,
  "candles_evaluated": 672,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.009367,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 43,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 43,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}