Call Audit

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Passport #169257 · Jul 28, 2026 · 14:00 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@castillotrading

Jul 28, 2026 · 14:00 UTC

We have talked about wanting this re-test on $BTC towards $62,793 nPOC print the past few weeks. Finally got it today. I still think we have the opportunity to drop lower but IMO lower happens closer to mid-terms in November. Lot of time to have some nice moves up before then. https://t.co/vvmW7fDmhG

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@castillotrading's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	7 days · Short Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Per Stage 2, only the up leg is scored. Author expects 'nice moves up' before November mid-terms — mild hedge via 'IMO' and general framing. The $62,793 number is a retest level already hit, not an upside target, so no targets extracted.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC moves up. 'Before November' is bound to the drop (the second leg/trigger context), not to the 'nice moves up' outcome itself — and even if treated as outcome-bound, 'before November' from 2026-07-28 would be ~95 days, but the phrase 'Lot of time to have some nice moves up before then' uses November as a ceiling for the drop, not an explicit horizon for the upward move. No §4 signal (bounce, urgency, macro) fires for this directional up call → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$63,154
Target	—
Duration	7 days · Short Term

Scoring

0.68composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.81
Path Score (OCS)	0.83
Time Score (TIF)	1.00
Magnitude	0.81
Max Favorable Move	+1.5%
Max Unfavorable Move	−0.3%
Candles evaluated	21 · 1d
Eval window	Jul 28, 2026 · 14:00 UTC → Jul 28, 2026 · 19:15 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	7
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$63,154
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 188.32,
  "mfe": 946.3,
  "mqs": 0.810947,
  "ocs": 0.834024,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-28 17:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.068483,
  "sigma_d": 0.01799105,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-28 19:15:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.810947,
  "max_close": 64043.26,
  "min_close": 63153.7,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-28 14:00:44+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.665726,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.678364,
  "activation_price": 63153.7,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 21,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.008996,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}