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Passport #145343 · Jul 5, 2026 · 15:13 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CA@castillotrading
Jul 5, 2026 · 15:13 UTC
Pretty clear setup I am watching for on $BTC.
3 nPOC prints within local range. Looking for a drop to close out $61,916 and then a bounce towards range highs around $64,316 and $65,683.
#Bitcoin https://t.co/rdXjYM0AOo
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
First leg is directional down to close out the 61,916 nPOC. 'Looking for a drop' is mildly hedged setup language, not declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to $61,916. No explicit horizon phrase attached to this outcome. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,808 |
| Target | $61,916 – $61,916 |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.38composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.63 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.44 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.23 |
| Magnitude | 0.63 |
| Max Favorable Move | +2.4% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −3.0% |
| Candles evaluated | 672 · 4h |
| Eval window | Jul 5, 2026 · 15:13 UTC → Jul 12, 2026 · 15:13 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3C->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,808 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1892.12,
"mfe": 1501.04,
"mqs": 0.627142,
"ocs": 0.442372,
"tif": 0.232558,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-06 13:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.222682,
"sigma_d": 0.02500299,
"eval_end": "2026-07-12 15:13:16+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.627142,
"max_close": 64542.48,
"min_close": 61456,
"eval_start": "2026-07-05 15:13:16+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.986556,
"target_hit_ts": "2026-07-06 12:15:00+00:00",
"accuracy_score": 0.381188,
"activation_price": 62807.88,
"dir_target_score": 1,
"candles_evaluated": 672,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.024225,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 10,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
} 