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Passport #68204 · Mar 27, 2026 · 13:23 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
BO@bobloukas
Mar 27, 2026 · 13:23 UTC
Quarterly candle view of the Bitcoin 4 Year Cycle. Just like all prior Cycles, despite the relentless narrative changes you hear.
Don't get hung up on price. Time matters more than Price. Time gives structure. https://t.co/dJ0ARG9jb1
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | — |
| Duration | 180 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | $50,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Sweep Below (Reversal Up) |
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
The chart shows historical cycle annotations with red arrows marking tops and green arrows marking bottoms. The forecast zone contains a black box with a green up arrow labeled '48' positioned around the ~50,000 level, indicating the forecaster expects price to wick down into this demand zone and reverse upward, consistent with prior cycle bottom patterns shown on the chart.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $66,698 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 180 days · Long Term |
| Trigger level | $50,000 |
| Trigger operator | Sweep Below (Reversal Up) |
| Conditional operator | Category D — Bidding / Wick / Liquidity Grab (Reversal UP) |
| Trigger hit | No |
Scoring
This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | reviewer_override |
| Duration stated (days) | 180 |
| Duration used in scoring | — |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 4D |
| Merge source | chart_only |
| Direction source | chart |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | — |
| Spot price at post | $66,698 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_1_complex_path: path=4D
Merge Flags
orphan_chart: truetrigger_p0_gap_over_20pct: 25
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mqs": null,
"ocs": null,
"tif": null,
"status": "untriggered",
"eval_end": "2026-08-06 19:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": null,
"eval_start": "2026-03-27 13:23:01+00:00",
"trigger_ts": null,
"trigger_hit": false,
"review_flags": {
"trigger_p0_gap_over_20pct": 25
},
"accuracy_score": null,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 12697
} 