Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #136021 · Jun 7, 2026 · 13:18 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@bobloukas

Jun 7, 2026 · 13:18 UTC

Just like all prior cycles. Current drawdown from 2022-26 crypto Cycle - ETH - 69% XRP - 71% LTC - 72% Link - 77% SOL - 79% SUI - 87% ADA - 88% AVAX - 90% Way oversold, due a bounce, but all potentially have up to 50% declines left in them this year.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

AVAX

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	AVAX
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	14 days · Short Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Stage 2 locked direction as up based on 'due a bounce' for the listed assets including AVAX. No explicit numeric target for the bounce is given. The 50% further decline is a separate downside risk and not part of this up call. 'Due a bounce' is a mild hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = AVAX bounces up. Same 'due a bounce' framing; Signal B base 14.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	AVAX
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$6.67
Target	—
Duration	14 days · Short Term

Scoring

0.38composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.38
Path Score (OCS)	0.29
Time Score (TIF)	0.44
Magnitude	0.38
Max Favorable Move	+6.1%
Max Unfavorable Move	−14.9%
Candles evaluated	1344 · 8h
Eval window	Jun 7, 2026 · 13:18 UTC → Jun 21, 2026 · 13:18 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	14
Duration used in scoring	14

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$6.67
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 0.992,
  "mfe": 0.406,
  "mqs": 0.382468,
  "ocs": 0.290394,
  "tif": 0.44186,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-06-15 16:45:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.386514,
  "sigma_d": 0.04423088,
  "eval_end": "2026-06-21 13:18:05+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.382468,
  "max_close": 7.068,
  "min_close": 5.73,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-07 13:18:05+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 14,
  "mew_days_used": 14,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.482024,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.375309,
  "activation_price": 6.673,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 1344,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.126222,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 43,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 43,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 19,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}