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Passport #136020 · Jun 7, 2026 · 13:18 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
BO@bobloukas
Jun 7, 2026 · 13:18 UTC
𝕏 Just like all prior cycles. Current drawdown from 2022-26 crypto Cycle -
ETH - 69%
XRP - 71%
LTC - 72%
Link - 77%
SOL - 79%
SUI - 87%
ADA - 88%
AVAX - 90%
Way oversold, due a bounce, but all potentially have up to 50% declines left in them this year.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ADA |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Stage 2 locked the claim as directional up (bounce expected). The 88% figure is current drawdown context, not a target. The 50% decline mention is in the opposite direction of the scored claim, so not extracted. 'Due a bounce' = mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ADA bounces up. Same 'due a bounce' framing; Signal B base 14.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ADA |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $0.1616 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.83composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.73 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.88 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.86 |
| Magnitude | 0.73 |
| Max Favorable Move | +17.6% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −2.2% |
| Candles evaluated | 1344 · 8h |
| Eval window | Jun 7, 2026 · 13:18 UTC → Jun 21, 2026 · 13:18 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 14 |
| Duration used in scoring | 14 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $0.1616 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 0.0036,
"mfe": 0.0284,
"mqs": 0.731964,
"ocs": 0.884735,
"tif": 0.860465,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-15 14:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.826701,
"sigma_d": 0.04710616,
"eval_end": "2026-06-21 13:18:05+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.731964,
"max_close": 0.1893,
"min_close": 0.1584,
"eval_start": "2026-06-07 13:18:05+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.316636,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.825966,
"activation_price": 0.1616,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 1344,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.133479,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 37,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}