Passport #140648 · Jun 25, 2026 · 13:58 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $58,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Sweep Below (Reversal Up) |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster plans to buy at 55-58k zone (bidding into a local bottom), implying long entry at the trigger level with upside expected after. Used 58k (high end of range) as the trigger for an UP call since price would travel down to reach it. No explicit target stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rises from the 55-58k local bottom. No horizon phrase is attached to the outcome; 'local bottom' describes the trigger/entry zone, not a timeframe for the upward move. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires clearly → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 0,
"mfe": 8956.15,
"mqs": 0.747045,
"ocs": 1,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-21 14:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.608697,
"sigma_d": 0.02537907,
"eval_end": "2026-08-01 00:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.747045,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 59624.64,
"eval_start": "2026-07-02 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 58000,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-02 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.374545,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.838936,
"activation_price": 58000,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2881,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.11234,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": 6,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 31,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}