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Passport #89712 · Nov 2, 2025 · 09:40 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
BI@bitcoinjack
Nov 2, 2025 · 09:40 UTC
If BTC can’t show a decisive move up here soon then I guess we will retest 106-108 and if we do so then I think it is highly likely it will give way to 93-95
Still thinking this could be like August 2023 but the play would be to see 116 gained and then it’ll likely just keep going
Not feeling confident so I won’t be taking much risk here, sometimes the play is not to play
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 365 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | $108 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
Claim 1: If BTC retests 106-108 (using 108 as upper bound for DOWN call) and breaks down, target is 93-95. Hedged with 'highly likely' and 'I think'.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC breaks down to 93-95 after retesting 106-108. No horizon phrase is bound to this outcome; 'soon' appears on the trigger condition (decisive move up), not the downside target. No bounce/bottom/urgency/macro signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $110,604 |
| Target | $93 – $95 |
| Duration | 365 days · Long Term |
| Trigger level | $108 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below |
| Trigger hit | No |
Scoring
This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | reviewer_override |
| Duration stated (days) | 365 |
| Duration used in scoring | — |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $110,604 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Merge Flags
trigger_p0_gap_over_20pct: 99.9
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mqs": null,
"ocs": null,
"tif": null,
"status": "untriggered",
"eval_end": "2026-08-25 19:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": null,
"eval_start": "2025-11-02 09:40:43+00:00",
"trigger_ts": null,
"trigger_hit": false,
"review_flags": {
"trigger_p0_gap_over_20pct": 99.9
},
"accuracy_score": null,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 28456
}