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Passport #80460 · May 16, 2026 · 07:19 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
BI@bitcoinjack
May 16, 2026 · 07:19 UTC
No interest in btc longs until 74k or reclaim and support above 79 🥲
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $74,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Acceptance Below |
AI Reasoning
Claim 1: Forecaster will only long BTC at 74k, implying price travels down to that level and they bid there for a long (reversal up). No target stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC goes up (long) after reaching 74k. No horizon phrase is attached to the outcome — the trigger conditions (74k or reclaim above 79k) carry no temporal language. No §4 signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $74,000 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $74,000 |
| Trigger operator | Acceptance Below |
| Conditional operator | Category D — Bidding / Wick / Liquidity Grab (Reversal UP) |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | May 29, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.11composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.38 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.03 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.38 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.7% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −21.5% |
| Candles evaluated | 2881 · 1d |
| Eval window | May 29, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jun 28, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $78,464 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 15884.99,
"mfe": 514.1,
"mqs": 0.378375,
"ocs": 0.031349,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-29 17:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.031791,
"sigma_d": 0.01711304,
"eval_end": "2026-06-28 00:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.378375,
"max_close": 74257.7,
"min_close": 58290.17,
"eval_start": "2026-05-29 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 74000,
"trigger_ts": "2026-05-29 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.475418,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.110379,
"activation_price": 74000,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2881,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.014613,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": 12,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}