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Passport #142879 · Jul 1, 2026 · 00:24 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
$BTC Red Marubozu on monthly, suggestive of bearish continuation to come https://t.co/UiND1TkZgf
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 180 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish continuation call based on monthly Red Marubozu candle. 'Suggestive of' indicates mild hedge. No specific price targets stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bearish continuation. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase; 'to come' is vague forward language. No bounce, bottom, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $58,394 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 180 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | reviewer_override |
| Duration stated (days) | 180 |
| Duration used in scoring | 180 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $58,394 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 7405,
"mfe": 593.81,
"mqs": 0.611862,
"ocs": 0.074237,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.019001,
"sigma_d": 0.02149001,
"eval_end": "2026-07-21 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.611862,
"max_close": 65753.05,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-07-01 00:24:55+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 180,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.946395,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.176275,
"activation_price": 58394,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 1941,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010745,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}