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Passport #80139 · May 14, 2026 · 10:21 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AS@ashcrypto
May 14, 2026 · 10:21 UTC
$ETH still has a CME gap around $2,680.
Praying for this 🙏🏻 https://t.co/QCFlAbEEKV
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster is hoping/praying ETH fills the CME gap at $2,680, which is below current price implying a down move. 'Praying for this' indicates desire/hope rather than firm prediction, so heavy_hedge. Single target at 2680.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH drops to fill CME gap at $2,680. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $2,264 |
| Target | $2,680 – $2,680 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.27composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.88 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.07 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.03 |
| Magnitude | 0.88 |
| Max Favorable Move | +2.5% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −33.5% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | May 14, 2026 · 10:21 UTC → Jun 13, 2026 · 10:21 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $2,264 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_4_blocking_flags: target_wrong_side_down (scored)
Merge Flags
target_wrong_side_down: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 758.18,
"mfe": 55.47,
"mqs": 0.884389,
"ocs": 0.068174,
"tif": 0.032258,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-14 17:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.111693,
"sigma_d": 0.02120003,
"eval_end": "2026-06-13 10:21:46+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.884389,
"max_close": 2316.36,
"min_close": 1518.97,
"eval_start": "2026-05-14 10:21:46+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 2.157524,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.274128,
"activation_price": 2263.86,
"dir_target_score": 0.126159,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.011357,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
} 