← Back to @ashcrypto
Call Audit
Every scored call is fully auditable
Passport #154240 · Jul 14, 2026 · 21:50 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
The 4-year Bitcoin cycle is intact.
If history repeats, we’re now just 100 days away from the start of a new bull market. https://t.co/Hbg1UMikCY
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 100 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Post implies a bull market starting in ~100 days, which is a directional up call. No specific price targets are stated. 'If history repeats' qualifies the claim as a mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bull market begins. '100 days away from the start of a new bull market' is explicitly bound to the outcome. D = 2026-07-14; +100 days = 100.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,677 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 100 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 100 |
| Duration used in scoring | 100 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $64,677 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 188.9,
"mfe": 423.1,
"mqs": 0.458139,
"ocs": 0.69134,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-14 22:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.0164,
"sigma_d": 0.02135224,
"eval_end": "2026-07-15 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.458139,
"max_close": 65043.98,
"min_close": 64490.87,
"eval_start": "2026-07-14 21:50:15+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 100,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.612746,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.29147,
"activation_price": 64676.9,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 31,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010676,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}