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Passport #154161 · Jul 14, 2026 · 13:11 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AS@ashcrypto
Jul 14, 2026 · 13:11 UTC
𝕏 Massive breakout in $ETH
If ETH closes above the $1,850 resistance,
we can see a short squeeze to $2,000+ https://t.co/MVbV4BODHe
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $1,850 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
1850 is the close-above trigger and 2000 is the target after the trigger fires. Single claim conditional with 'can see' indicating mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH short squeezes to $2,000+. Per §0.5, 'closes above $1,850' is the trigger; no horizon phrase is bound to the outcome. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $1,892 |
| Target | $2,000 – $2,000 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $1,850 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Pump/Close Above |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jul 15, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
This call is conditional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $1,858 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 27.49,
"mfe": 1.45,
"mqs": 0.05128,
"ocs": 0.050103,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.003508,
"sigma_d": 0.02911918,
"eval_end": "2026-07-15 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.05128,
"max_close": 1891.87,
"min_close": 1864.6,
"eval_start": "2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 1891.87,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.052641,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.026223,
"activation_price": 1891.87,
"dir_target_score": 0,
"candles_evaluated": 23,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.01456,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": 0,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}