Call Audit

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Passport #152248 · Jul 13, 2026 · 18:44 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@ashcrypto

Jul 13, 2026 · 18:44 UTC

Bitcoin closed weekly above important support level of MA 200 with a doji candle. This shows the market is still uncertain, but the bullish engulfing candle from three weeks ago remains intact. Earlier the same pattern appeared 3 times this cycle and each one was followed by a strong rally. Two scenarios: 1. Hold $58K = Breakout toward $67K, then $83K. 2. Lose $58K on the weekly close = Next support around $49K. US CPI report this week will be crucial. Lower inflation could help Bitcoin recover, while higher inflation could send it lower.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	$58,000
Trigger Operator	Break Below

AI Reasoning

Claim 2: Losing $58K on weekly close is a break-below trigger; target is next support at $49K. Two separate opposing scenarios explicitly stated.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC drops to $49K. The trigger is 'Lose $58K on the weekly close'; per §0.5 'weekly close' is on the trigger, not the outcome. No horizon phrase bound to the $49K target, and no §4 signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$62,000
Target	$49,000 – $49,000
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger level	$58,000
Trigger operator	Break Below
Conditional operator	Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below
Trigger hit	No

Scoring

This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	—

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeB
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$62,000
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mqs": null,
  "ocs": null,
  "tif": null,
  "status": "untriggered",
  "eval_end": "2026-07-13 19:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": null,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-13 18:44:44+00:00",
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "trigger_hit": false,
  "review_flags": {},
  "accuracy_score": null,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 4
}