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Passport #144500 · Jul 3, 2026 · 16:49 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
AS@ashcrypto
Jul 3, 2026 · 16:49 UTC
$ETH to $3,000+ in August?
In the 2022 bear market:
June - $ETH forma cycle bottom of $881
July to August - ETH rallied 128%.
November - It pulled back but never broke the June low.
So far, this cycle is starting to look similar.
If history repeats and $1,500 is the cycle low for, ETH could rally into August and 128% move from the June bottom would put $ETH around $3,400 in August.
Let’s wait and see how this cycle plays out. Not sure about $3,400 but I think $2400- $2800 is very possible.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 28 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author explicitly states 'I think $2400-$2800 is very possible' as their personal prediction. The $3,000+ and $3,400 figures are rhetorical/hypothetical based on historical analogy, not their committed target. 'I think' and 'very possible' = mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH rallies to $2,400–$2,800. 'In August' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-07-03; end of August = Aug 31, 2026; 31 Jul days remaining + 31 Aug days = 59 days... recalculating: Jul 3 to Aug 31 = 28 days remaining in July (31−3) + 31 days in August = 59 days. Wait: Jul has 31 days, so Jul 3 to Jul 31 = 28 days, plus 31 days in August = 59 days total. Using 'in August' → last day of August = Aug 31, 2026; Aug 31 − Jul 3 = 59 days.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $1,734 |
| Target | $2,400 – $2,800 |
| Duration | 28 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.78composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.59 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.92 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 1.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.59 |
| Max Favorable Move | +14.3% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.2% |
| Candles evaluated | 2688 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jul 3, 2026 · 16:49 UTC → Jul 31, 2026 · 16:49 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 28 |
| Duration used in scoring | 28 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $1,734 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 20.19,
"mfe": 247.61,
"mqs": 0.593738,
"ocs": 0.924608,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-27 06:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.589401,
"sigma_d": 0.03266807,
"eval_end": "2026-07-31 16:49:47+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.593738,
"max_close": 1975.73,
"min_close": 1717.47,
"eval_start": "2026-07-03 16:49:47+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 28,
"mew_days_used": 28,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.900758,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.776937,
"activation_price": 1733.63,
"dir_target_score": 0.363312,
"candles_evaluated": 2688,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.158564,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 29,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 29,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 29,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 29
} 