← Back to @ashcrypto🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@ashcrypto's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts
Call Audit
Every scored call is fully auditable
Passport #120613 · Jun 17, 2026 · 12:11 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Bitcoin got rejected at the 20 DMA again.
The key level to break is $67,265 for a rally towards $74,000.
Meanwhile, if Bitcoin fails to hold the $63,640 level, a dump to $60,000 could happen next.
The FOMC meeting is happening today, so all eyes will be on it.
A bullish tone from Kevin Warsh could trigger an upside breakout, while a bearish tone will result in Bitcoin giving up all its short-term gains.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $63,640 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
Claim 2: failing to hold $63,640 triggers a dump to $60,000. Clear break-below conditional with numeric trigger and target. 'Could happen' indicates heavy hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC dumps to $60,000 if $63,640 fails. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present; FOMC is a catalyst. No §4 signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $62,958 |
| Target | $60,000 – $60,000 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $63,640 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jun 19, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.52composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.62 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.66 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.42 |
| Magnitude | 0.62 |
| Max Favorable Move | +8.2% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −4.2% |
| Candles evaluated | 2881 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 19, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jul 19, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $64,850 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2664.82,
"mfe": 5157.82,
"mqs": 0.624439,
"ocs": 0.659345,
"tif": 0.419355,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.358371,
"sigma_d": 0.02409645,
"eval_end": "2026-07-19 00:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.624439,
"max_close": 65578,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-19 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 62958.01,
"trigger_ts": "2026-06-19 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.979335,
"target_hit_ts": "2026-06-24 17:00:00+00:00",
"accuracy_score": 0.515377,
"activation_price": 62958.01,
"dir_target_score": 1,
"candles_evaluated": 2881,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.083654,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": 1,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 13,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}