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Passport #148311 · Jul 9, 2026 · 11:51 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
$BTC next short term move is 109K$ ✅ https://t.co/XwaeEo8nwS
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Target of 109K is clearly stated as the next short-term move. However, direction is ambiguous without knowing the price at the time of post — 'next move to 109K' could be up or down depending on current price. Marking direction as up based on typical bullish framing but flagging NOT PASS for direction confidence.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rises to $109K. No explicit horizon phrase attached to the outcome. 'Short term move' signals a near-term directional call; no bounce/bottom/urgency/macro register, but 'short term' aligns with Signal C urgency framing at base 14.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,786 |
| Target | $109,000 – $109,000 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.66composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.57 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.81 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.97 |
| Magnitude | 0.57 |
| Max Favorable Move | +6.6% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.5% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jul 9, 2026 · 11:51 UTC → Aug 8, 2026 · 11:51 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | reviewer_override |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $62,786 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: post_direction_confidence
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 961.37,
"mfe": 4169.81,
"mqs": 0.568521,
"ocs": 0.812642,
"tif": 0.967742,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-21 14:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.294976,
"sigma_d": 0.02271503,
"eval_end": "2026-08-08 11:51:57+00:00",
"end_close": 64970,
"magnitude": 0.568521,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 61904.99,
"eval_start": "2026-07-09 11:51:57+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-08 11:45:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.840537,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.66097,
"activation_price": 62786.34,
"dir_target_score": 0.089975,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.079012,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 30,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}