Passport #75379 · Jan 21, 2026 · 22:22 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | AVAX |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 344 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bullish call for new ATH with explicit target of $250. Phrased as a wishful request ('Can you please', 'Maybe around') making it a heavy hedge, but the directional intent and target are clear.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = AVAX reaches new ATH (~$250). 'In 2026' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-01-21; Dec 31 2026 − Jan 21 2026 = 344 days.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 6.869,
"mfe": 0.09,
"mqs": 0.308971,
"ocs": 0.012933,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-01-21 22:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.009694,
"sigma_d": 0.03880856,
"eval_end": "2026-07-03 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.308971,
"max_close": 12.59,
"min_close": 5.73,
"eval_start": "2026-01-21 22:22:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 344,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.369574,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.082899,
"activation_price": 12.55,
"dir_target_score": 0.000168,
"candles_evaluated": 15581,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.019404,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 6,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 6,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 6
}