Passport #175467 · Aug 4, 2026 · 10:31 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Post describes BTC in a bearish market structure with lower lows and lower highs, indicating a down call. No specific price targets are stated. Tone is descriptive/analytical rather than a firm prediction, so mild_hedge fits best.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC continues declining (bearish structure). No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. 'Greatest opportunities of the cycle could be just around the corner' is vague promotional language, not an outcome-bound horizon; no §4 signal fires clearly → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1807.95,
"mfe": 201.51,
"mqs": 0.353682,
"ocs": 0.100281,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-04 10:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.029985,
"sigma_d": 0.0145033,
"eval_end": "2026-08-11 10:31:58+00:00",
"end_close": 64307.23,
"magnitude": 0.353682,
"max_close": 65408.05,
"min_close": 63666.51,
"eval_start": "2026-08-04 10:31:58+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-11 10:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.436464,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.120987,
"activation_price": 63666.51,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 672,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.007252,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}