Passport #172161 · Jul 31, 2026 · 10:58 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish language ('not looking great', 'bearish', 'lower low') indicates down direction. $65.5K is referenced as a past deviation point, not a target. 'Would not be surprised' is a mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC prints a lower low. 'Soon' is present but Signal D applies (no bounce, bottom call, urgency, or macro framing) → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1106.55,
"mfe": 1643.67,
"mqs": 0.777857,
"ocs": 0.59765,
"tif": 0.55814,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-01 18:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.238975,
"sigma_d": 0.01485318,
"eval_end": "2026-08-07 10:58:00+00:00",
"end_close": 64863.99,
"magnitude": 0.777857,
"max_close": 64982.11,
"min_close": 62340.01,
"eval_start": "2026-07-31 10:58:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-07 10:45:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.504435,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.543156,
"activation_price": 63918.67,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 672,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.017093,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 24,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}