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Passport #142308 · Jun 29, 2026 · 08:09 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AL@altcryptogems
Jun 29, 2026 · 08:09 UTC
$BTC is holding above the key support level at $59K, a good sign showing that at least we have stopped moving further down.
Unfortunately, we are leaving behind some liquidity with those poor lows, so I would not be surprised to see a further sweep lower.
But the line in the sand here is clear: bulls need to keep bouncing back above $59K; otherwise, things will look pretty ugly.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $59,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Hold Above |
AI Reasoning
Single conditional claim: if bulls fail to hold $59K, bearish outcome ('pretty ugly') activates. Trigger is $59K as a hold-level; failure to hold flips bearish. No numeric target stated — only qualitative downside language.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops further (things look ugly) if bulls fail to hold $59K. Per §0.5, the $59K level is the trigger; no horizon phrase is attached to the bearish outcome. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $58,382 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $59,000 |
| Trigger operator | Hold Above |
| Conditional operator | Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Resistance |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jun 30, 2026 · 16:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.17composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.48 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.08 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.48 |
| Max Favorable Move | +1.0% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −10.8% |
| Candles evaluated | 673 · 4h |
| Eval window | Jun 30, 2026 · 16:00 UTC → Jul 7, 2026 · 16:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $59,960 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 6318.01,
"mfe": 581.8,
"mqs": 0.484635,
"ocs": 0.084321,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.094157,
"sigma_d": 0.02421558,
"eval_end": "2026-07-07 16:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.484635,
"max_close": 64489.98,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-30 16:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 58381.99,
"trigger_ts": "2026-06-30 16:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.66288,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.165778,
"activation_price": 58381.99,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 673,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.015034,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": 7,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
} 