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Passport #83900 · Jun 4, 2026 · 02:16 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
TR@Tradermayne
Jun 4, 2026 · 02:16 UTC
bitcoin:native
We are probably around here IMO.
Downside isn't done yet, but we are getting close time and price wise.
Something big blowing up, FTX last time, Saylor/Lee who knows, this time would be the icing on the cake. https://t.co/NhisF0POtr
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call: 'Downside isn't done yet' clearly indicates expectation of further decline. No specific price targets stated. 'Probably' and 'IMO' indicate mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC continues downward. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. 'Getting close time and price wise' suggests a bottom is approaching but the active claim is the ongoing downside move — no bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires clearly for this leg → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,998 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.51composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.60 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.55 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.55 |
| Magnitude | 0.60 |
| Max Favorable Move | +8.3% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −6.8% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 4, 2026 · 02:16 UTC → Jul 4, 2026 · 02:16 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,998 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 4294.17,
"mfe": 5197.79,
"mqs": 0.597144,
"ocs": 0.547599,
"tif": 0.548387,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.360692,
"sigma_d": 0.01747849,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 02:16:03+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.597144,
"max_close": 67292.14,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-04 02:16:03+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.909175,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.513455,
"activation_price": 62997.98,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.09075,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 17,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
} 