Call Audit

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Passport #83591 · Jun 2, 2026 · 16:16 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@Tradermayne

Jun 2, 2026 · 16:16 UTC

bitcoin:native The charts have said $40k-$60k Bitcoin is good value for a long time. If Saylor selling is the catalyst that sends us there, fantastic. If it lines up with the 4 year cycle and we are bearish into summer bottoming in Q4 2026, even better.

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@Tradermayne's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	212 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Post is from June 2026 referencing BTC going to $40k-$60k range, which is below current levels — direction is down. The author frames this as 'good value' and welcomes catalysts (Saylor selling, 4-year cycle bottoming Q4 2026) that would take price there, indicating a bearish stance. Range target extracted as 40000-60000. Tone is mild_hedge due to conditional framing of catalysts.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC declines to $40k–$60k range. 'Bottoming in Q4 2026' is bound to the outcome (the bottom/decline). D = 2026-06-02; Q4 2026 ends Dec 31, 2026; 2026-12-31 − 2026-06-02 = 212 days.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$67,864
Target	$40,000 – $60,000
Duration	212 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	212
Duration used in scoring	212

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$67,864
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 282.58,
  "mfe": 10063.53,
  "mqs": 0.739327,
  "ocs": 0.972687,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.249943,
  "sigma_d": 0.02070608,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.739327,
  "max_close": 67887.99,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-02 16:16:49+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 212,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.344487,
  "target_hit_ts": "2026-06-05 15:45:00+00:00",
  "accuracy_score": 0.740489,
  "activation_price": 67863.72,
  "dir_target_score": 1,
  "candles_evaluated": 3029,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.110295,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 2,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 2,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}