Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #59206 · Apr 13, 2026 · 23:42 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@Tradermayne

Apr 13, 2026 · 23:42 UTC

This is the spot for the bears to slam it if they are going to on $BTC. Otherwise $80k+ is coming. Still haven't seen any evidence that this is anything but a counter trend rally for BTC, doesn't mean we can't enjoy it! Really strong bounces on indices help the bull case. https://t.co/bkN36CuLvL

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster says 'this is the spot' for bears to push down — if they fail to do so (i.e., level holds), then $80k+ comes. No explicit numeric trigger stated, so trigger is null. Target is $80k+ (upward direction after the hold). Target confidence is NOT PASS because '$80k+' is an open-ended floor rather than a clean destination, and one could argue it's a directional floor rather than a predicted endpoint.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC rises to $80k+. Per §0.5, 'this is the spot' is the trigger; no horizon phrase is attached to the outcome '$80k+ is coming.' No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$74,563
Target	$80,000 – $80,000
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.72composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.64
Path Score (OCS)	0.87
Time Score (TIF)	0.90
Magnitude	0.64
Max Favorable Move	+11.1%
Max Unfavorable Move	−1.7%
Candles evaluated	2880 · 1d
Eval window	Apr 13, 2026 · 23:42 UTC → May 13, 2026 · 23:42 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$74,563
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_3_confidence: post_target_confidence

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 1252.8,
  "mfe": 8287.35,
  "mqs": 0.635614,
  "ocs": 0.868681,
  "tif": 0.903226,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-05-06 11:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.468992,
  "sigma_d": 0.02321484,
  "eval_end": "2026-05-13 23:42:55+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.635614,
  "max_close": 82684.01,
  "min_close": 73593.15,
  "eval_start": "2026-04-13 23:42:55+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.009541,
  "target_hit_ts": "2026-05-04 02:15:00+00:00",
  "accuracy_score": 0.719128,
  "activation_price": 74562.65,
  "dir_target_score": 1,
  "candles_evaluated": 2880,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.110096,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 28,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}