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Passport #155217 · Jul 17, 2026 · 08:24 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@Trader1SZ

Jul 17, 2026 · 08:24 UTC

$SOL scenario id be okay with for bullish case. Below monthly open then most likely I’m wrong and we head lower https://t.co/awoAXk8CR3

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Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

SOL

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	SOL
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	3 days · Short Term
Trigger	$73.56
Trigger Operator	Hold Above

AI Reasoning

Claim 1: Bullish scenario references the chart but no numeric trigger or target is stated in the text. Direction is ambiguous since the actual scenario details are in the image.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = SOL moves up (bullish scenario). No explicit horizon attached to the outcome; 'monthly open' is a trigger/reference level, not an outcome timeframe. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

Chart shows SOL/USD on 1h timeframe, matching Stage 3 asset. A clearly labeled 'Monthly open' horizontal purple line is visible at ~73.558, which is the trigger level referenced in the Stage 3 claim. Below this level activates the bearish conditional. Direction consistency check passes as the trigger is below current price for a down claim.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	SOL
Direction	Long
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$74.32
Target	—
Duration	3 days · Short Term
Trigger level	$73.56
Trigger operator	Hold Above
Conditional operator	Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Support
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jul 17, 2026 · 15:00 UTC

Scoring

0.76composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.67
Path Score (OCS)	0.86
Time Score (TIF)	0.99
Magnitude	0.67
Max Favorable Move	+4.1%
Max Unfavorable Move	−0.7%
Candles evaluated	289 · 1h
Eval window	Jul 17, 2026 · 15:00 UTC → Jul 20, 2026 · 15:00 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	3
Duration used in scoring	3

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeA
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$74.51
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_3_confidence: post_direction_confidence

Merge Flags

trigger_from_chart: true

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 0.52,
  "mfe": 3.08,
  "mqs": 0.671648,
  "ocs": 0.855532,
  "tif": 0.986301,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-20 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.536978,
  "sigma_d": 0.02388616,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-20 15:00:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.671648,
  "max_close": 77.14,
  "min_close": 73.98,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-17 15:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 74.32,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-07-17 15:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 14,
  "mew_days_used": 3,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.11367,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.762615,
  "activation_price": 74.32,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 289,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.037212,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1h",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 73,
  "trigger_candle_index": 6,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 73,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 72,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 73
}