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Passport #27826 · Apr 27, 2026 · 15:22 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
TH@ThinkingUSD
Apr 27, 2026 · 15:22 UTC
"Semiconductors seem a little overextended here, time to short some Bitcoin"
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
'Time to short some Bitcoin' clearly indicates a bearish/down call. No price targets stated. Declarative tone with no hedging language.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. No bounce, bottom, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $76,855 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.25composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.27 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.30 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.26 |
| Magnitude | 0.27 |
| Max Favorable Move | +3.3% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −7.8% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Apr 27, 2026 · 15:22 UTC → May 27, 2026 · 15:22 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $76,855 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 5994.92,
"mfe": 2565.48,
"mqs": 0.271934,
"ocs": 0.299692,
"tif": 0.258065,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-23 08:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.151624,
"sigma_d": 0.02075075,
"eval_end": "2026-05-27 15:22:34+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.271934,
"max_close": 82684.01,
"min_close": 74451.64,
"eval_start": "2026-04-27 15:22:34+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.317364,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.245329,
"activation_price": 76855.08,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.105181,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 8,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}