Passport #178272 · Aug 7, 2026 · 16:20 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
BTC is listed under 'Long' positions, indicating an up directional view. No price target stated. Language 'sort of random' and 'think this is decent' suggests mild hedge rather than firm declaration.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves up. 'Coming months' is bound to the overall portfolio thesis, not a specific outcome horizon phrase. 'Coming months' maps to 90 days via §3.2, but since it describes the portfolio observation window rather than a specific outcome, treating as explicit: 'coming months' → 90 days explicit.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 407.36,
"mfe": 119.46,
"mqs": 0.162278,
"ocs": 0.226757,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-07 16:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.004862,
"sigma_d": 0.02078018,
"eval_end": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 64861,
"magnitude": 0.162278,
"max_close": 64949.64,
"min_close": 64599.99,
"eval_start": "2026-08-07 16:20:33+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.177069,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.098474,
"activation_price": 64932.36,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 13,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.01039,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}