Passport #75487 · Jan 22, 2026 · 20:33 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster declares BTC will print a 15% green daily candle within the next month — clearly bullish/up direction. 'Fully believe' and 'it's coming' are declarative. No explicit price target given (15% is a percentage move, not a stated price destination), so targets are null.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC prints a 15% green daily candle. 'In the next month' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-01-22; 'next month' → 30 days.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 29507.7,
"mfe": 1717.29,
"mqs": 0.676535,
"ocs": 0.054997,
"tif": 0.064516,
"mfe_ts": "2026-01-23 17:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.0876,
"sigma_d": 0.01808762,
"eval_end": "2026-02-21 20:33:09+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.676535,
"max_close": 90981.99,
"min_close": 60255.65,
"eval_start": "2026-01-22 20:33:09+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.128665,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.220912,
"activation_price": 89507.7,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.016999,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}