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Passport #75487 · Jan 22, 2026 · 20:33 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@RookieXBT

Jan 22, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

with the way commodities are trading, I fully believe there’s gonna be a day in the next month where BTC puts in a 15% green daily candle it’s coming

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	declarative
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster declares BTC will print a 15% green daily candle within the next month — clearly bullish/up direction. 'Fully believe' and 'it's coming' are declarative. No explicit price target given (15% is a percentage move, not a stated price destination), so targets are null.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC prints a 15% green daily candle. 'In the next month' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-01-22; 'next month' → 30 days.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$89,508
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.22composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.68
Path Score (OCS)	0.05
Time Score (TIF)	0.06
Magnitude	0.68
Max Favorable Move	+1.9%
Max Unfavorable Move	−33.0%
Candles evaluated	2880 · 1d
Eval window	Jan 22, 2026 · 20:33 UTC → Feb 21, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$89,508
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 29507.7,
  "mfe": 1717.29,
  "mqs": 0.676535,
  "ocs": 0.054997,
  "tif": 0.064516,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-01-23 17:45:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.0876,
  "sigma_d": 0.01808762,
  "eval_end": "2026-02-21 20:33:09+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.676535,
  "max_close": 90981.99,
  "min_close": 60255.65,
  "eval_start": "2026-01-22 20:33:09+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.128665,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.220912,
  "activation_price": 89507.7,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 2880,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.016999,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}