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Passport #176461 · Aug 5, 2026 · 12:28 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
RO@Roman_trading
Aug 5, 2026 · 12:28 UTC
$BTC is currently 44 weeks into its typical 52 week bear market.
At 52 +/- a few weeks we generally see the bottom. This means you're running out of time to buy at a discount.
This has been on point with every single cycle since it's creation. This time won't be different. https://t.co/Z5ukOZvlO4
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Post implies BTC is near cycle bottom and urges buying at a discount before the bottom completes, which is a bullish directional call. The '44 weeks' and '52 weeks' are timeline references, not price targets. No explicit price targets stated. 'This time won't be different' is declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bottoms and moves up. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. The post frames this as a cycle bottom call ('running out of time to buy at a discount', '52 +/- a few weeks') with macro/cycle framing → Signal B2 with ↑ to 60 for macro/cycle framing.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,516 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.46composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.44 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.39 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 1.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.44 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.6% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.0% |
| Candles evaluated | 29 · 3d |
| Eval window | Aug 5, 2026 · 12:28 UTC → Aug 5, 2026 · 19:30 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 60 |
| Duration used in scoring | 60 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $64,516 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 635.81,
"mfe": 401.36,
"mqs": 0.437371,
"ocs": 0.386976,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-05 19:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.020134,
"sigma_d": 0.02034615,
"eval_end": "2026-08-05 19:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.437371,
"max_close": 64885.5,
"min_close": 64141.99,
"eval_start": "2026-08-05 12:28:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 60,
"mew_days_used": 60,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.575135,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.46112,
"activation_price": 64515.81,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 29,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010817,
"scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
} 