Passport #167705 · Jul 27, 2026 · 00:59 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster explicitly states belief in a new macro low in the coming months, giving a clear down direction. 'I still believe' softens it to a mild hedge. No specific price target provided.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC makes a new macro low. 'In the coming months' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-07-27; 'coming months' → 90 days per §3.2.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 368.05,
"mfe": 239.92,
"mqs": 0.297792,
"ocs": 0.394625,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-27 01:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.009735,
"sigma_d": 0.02083923,
"eval_end": "2026-07-27 05:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.297792,
"max_close": 65393.82,
"min_close": 65019.88,
"eval_start": "2026-07-27 00:59:41+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.353525,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.175538,
"activation_price": 65131.95,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 18,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.01042,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}