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Call Audit
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Passport #161536 · Jul 21, 2026 · 11:13 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
$BTC 1W
Our bull divs & other reversal signs are working out nicely here.
I’m still expecting around the 70k level before possibly putting in another macro low.
Historically speaking we have 10 more weeks until we reach the bottom. https://t.co/7eZzatfZ6u
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 70 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call expecting a macro low around 70k. 'Expecting' and 'possibly' indicate mild hedge. 70k is the predicted destination in the down direction.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to ~70k macro low. '10 more weeks until we reach the bottom' is bound to the outcome (the bottom/low). D = 2026-07-21; 10 weeks = 70 days → explicit_timeframe = 70.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $66,232 |
| Target | $70,000 – $70,000 |
| Duration | 70 days · Long Term |
Scoring
0.10composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.21 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.20 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.21 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.3% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.1% |
| Candles evaluated | 33 · 3d |
| Eval window | Jul 21, 2026 · 11:13 UTC → Jul 21, 2026 · 19:15 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 70 |
| Duration used in scoring | 70 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $66,232 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 724.03,
"mfe": 179.49,
"mqs": 0.205208,
"ocs": 0.198656,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-21 18:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.008121,
"sigma_d": 0.02220118,
"eval_end": "2026-07-21 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.205208,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 66207.95,
"eval_start": "2026-07-21 11:13:15+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {
"target_wrong_side_down": true
},
"sigma_d_days": 70,
"mew_days_used": 70,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.229675,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.102996,
"activation_price": 66232.12,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 33,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.011799,
"scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}