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Passport #153257 · Jul 14, 2026 · 04:33 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
RO@Roman_trading
Jul 14, 2026 · 04:33 UTC
$BTC H4
Our bull divs we pointed out on livestream are working out nicely.
I wonder if this will finally give us the steam to get through 65k and back into the 70ks for a bit.
Remember that HTF has a multitude of bullish reversal signals as well. https://t.co/ztu5SNBJYM
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $65,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
65k is the break-above trigger; 'back into the 70ks' is the target zone after break. Target range interpreted as 70k-79999 (the 70k decade). Language 'I wonder if' is heavily hedged. Target confidence flagged since '70ks for a bit' is vague about specific destination.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves into the 70ks after breaking 65k. Per §0.5, 'get through 65k' is the trigger; no horizon phrase is bound to the outcome. 'For a bit' is vague and not a measurable duration. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $62,709 |
| Target | $70,000 – $79,999 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $65,000 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Pump/Close Above |
| Trigger hit | — |
Scoring
This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,709 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: post_target_confidencegate_5_asset_mismatch: path=3B->4B_modeB, claim=BTC, chart=NON_USD_PAIR
Merge Flags
asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: NON_USD_PAIRasset_mismatch_claim: BTC
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 63.66,
"mfe": 153.31,
"mqs": 0.235367,
"ocs": 0.706595,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-14 05:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.023164,
"sigma_d": 0.01822033,
"eval_end": "2026-07-14 05:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.235367,
"max_close": 62824.16,
"min_close": 62708.69,
"eval_start": "2026-07-14 04:33:03+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.268359,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.491281,
"activation_price": 62708.69,
"dir_target_score": 0.015837,
"candles_evaluated": 3,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.00911,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
} 