Passport #145645 · Jul 6, 2026 · 13:04 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Direction is down based on 'probably some lower considering the low volume bounce.' The warning 'you're playing with fire shorting this' refers to the eventual reversal higher, but the immediate call is for lower prices first. No numeric target is stated. 'Probably' indicates a mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves lower. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. 'Probably some lower' with no urgency, bounce, or macro framing → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 5316.13,
"mfe": 333.18,
"mqs": 0.365701,
"ocs": 0.058977,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-06 13:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.024738,
"sigma_d": 0.02374711,
"eval_end": "2026-08-05 13:04:34+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.365701,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 61456,
"eval_start": "2026-07-06 13:04:34+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.455235,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.112354,
"activation_price": 61640.02,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.011874,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}