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Passport #136234 · Jun 8, 2026 · 17:36 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
RO@Roman_trading
Jun 8, 2026 · 17:36 UTC
$BTC 1W
We finally are starting to see signs of macro reversal:
- 1W bull divs forming
- 1M 40 RSI tested similar to prior bear markets
- 1D RSI historical low
- 1W price action exhaustion
- 1M MACD reset
- 1W bear momentum exhaustion
- Perma bulls now selling / saying we’re going lower
- historical high of $BTC at a loss
- early signs of institutional buying
I want to reiterate that I do not believe the bottom is in. However, we are seeing the signs of reversal needed to begin a DCA. The goal is to absorb as much as possible as price falls to the bottom. Similar to what we did in 2022-2023.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author explicitly states 'I do not believe the bottom is in' and expects price to fall further to a bottom, making this a down call. No numeric target provided. Despite reversal signals being listed, the explicit forward-looking prediction is bearish and stated firmly.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC continues to fall to a bottom. No explicit horizon is attached to the outcome. The post mentions DCA accumulation as price falls, but the macro/cycle framing is contextual background rather than the evaluable claim (which is directional down); no single §4 signal dominates cleanly, so DEFAULT 30 applies.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,381 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.53composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.55 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.59 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.61 |
| Magnitude | 0.55 |
| Max Favorable Move | +8.8% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −6.2% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 8, 2026 · 17:36 UTC → Jul 8, 2026 · 17:36 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $63,381 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 3911.6,
"mfe": 5580.36,
"mqs": 0.554909,
"ocs": 0.587904,
"tif": 0.612903,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.38254,
"sigma_d": 0.02302345,
"eval_end": "2026-07-08 17:36:33+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.554909,
"max_close": 67292.14,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-08 17:36:33+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.809477,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.534564,
"activation_price": 63380.55,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.108768,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 19,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
} 
