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Passport #71755 · Feb 3, 2026 · 12:01 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Bitcoin Breaks Down - More Downside To Come?
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$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
Chart shows a 'macro descending triangle' pattern with a downward-sloping trendline acting as resistance and horizontal support below. Two upward arrows with measurement labels (+52.69% to 437k, +21.21% to 170k) indicate upside targets if the descending trendline is broken. However, the 'descending triangle' label traditionally implies bearish bias, creating significant ambiguity about direction. The trigger level (descending trendline at current price area) is also unclear as a specific number — could be interpreted as the trendline value or the horizontal support.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $78,222 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.94composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 1.00 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.99 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 1.00 |
| Magnitude | 1.00 |
| Max Favorable Move | +23.3% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −0.3% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Feb 3, 2026 · 12:01 UTC → Mar 5, 2026 · 12:01 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | default_30 |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 4D |
| Merge source | chart_only |
| Direction source | chart |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | — |
| Spot price at post | $78,222 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: chart_direction_confidence,chart_trigger_confidencegate_1_complex_path: path=4D
Merge Flags
orphan_chart: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 236.69,
"mfe": 18222.2,
"mqs": 0.998007,
"ocs": 0.987177,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-02-06 00:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.788086,
"sigma_d": 0.02360083,
"eval_end": "2026-03-05 12:01:29+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.998007,
"max_close": 78425.83,
"min_close": 60255.65,
"eval_start": "2026-02-03 12:01:29+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 6.218136,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.943318,
"activation_price": 78222.2,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.037464,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 31,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}