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Passport #65122 · Mar 16, 2026 · 18:41 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
RE@RektCapital
Mar 16, 2026 · 18:41 UTC
𝕏 #BTC
What are the Stablecoin Dominance charts saying?
Short-term Macro Risk On
Before Mid- to Long-term Macro Risk Off
So there's space for Bitcoin to do well in the short-term
But over time, we'll probably see more of what we've seen over these past 6 months and that's Macro Downside
$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Stage 2 determined the scored leg is short-term up ('space for Bitcoin to do well in the short-term'). No price targets are stated. Language is hedged ('probably', 'space for') = mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC does well short-term. 'Short-term' is strategy-window language describing the thesis frame, not an outcome-anchored horizon phrase. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $74,206 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.12composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.15 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.17 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.06 |
| Magnitude | 0.15 |
| Max Favorable Move | +2.5% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −12.4% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Mar 16, 2026 · 18:41 UTC → Apr 15, 2026 · 18:41 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $74,206 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_5_asset_mismatch: path=3A->4A, claim=BTC, chart=NON_USD_PAIR
Merge Flags
asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: NON_USD_PAIRasset_mismatch_claim: BTC
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 9206.32,
"mfe": 1831.68,
"mqs": 0.147748,
"ocs": 0.165943,
"tif": 0.064516,
"mfe_ts": "2026-04-14 14:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.112512,
"sigma_d": 0.02875217,
"eval_end": "2026-04-15 18:41:49+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.147748,
"max_close": 75933.8,
"min_close": 65620.39,
"eval_start": "2026-03-16 18:41:49+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.159873,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.12268,
"activation_price": 74206.32,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.154396,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}