Passport #64374 · Mar 10, 2026 · 14:21 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
The post declares BTC will be halfway through a Bear Market in one month, implying a continued downward trajectory. No specific price targets stated. 'Will be' is declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC is in a bear market (directional down). 'One month from now' is bound directly to the outcome. D = 2026-03-10; one month → 30 days.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 6200.7,
"mfe": 4799.3,
"mqs": 0.408738,
"ocs": 0.4363,
"tif": 0.451613,
"mfe_ts": "2026-03-29 23:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.304749,
"sigma_d": 0.02973739,
"eval_end": "2026-04-09 14:21:24+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.408738,
"max_close": 75933.8,
"min_close": 65620.39,
"eval_start": "2026-03-10 14:21:24+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.525496,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.40035,
"activation_price": 69799.3,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.130845,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 14,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}