Passport #183400 · Aug 12, 2026 · 15:49 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 19 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author predicts BTC will turn 'red' for August, indicating a down direction. 'On the cusp of turning' is a mild hedge rather than firm declaration. No explicit price targets provided.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC turns red for August. The post references August closing red, implying the end of August as the evaluation window. D = 2026-08-12; Aug 31, 2026 − Aug 12, 2026 = 19 days.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 136.53,
"mfe": 73.12,
"mqs": 0.157415,
"ocs": 0.348772,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-12 16:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.006629,
"sigma_d": 0.0134581,
"eval_end": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 63439.02,
"magnitude": 0.157415,
"max_close": 63564.59,
"min_close": 63386.16,
"eval_start": "2026-08-12 15:49:41+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 19,
"mew_days_used": 19,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.171281,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.378204,
"activation_price": 63441.47,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 15,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.006729,
"scoring_candle_tf": "12h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}