Passport #161580 · Jul 21, 2026 · 16:29 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Per Stage 2, only the first leg (up) is scored. 'Will likely go up' indicates up direction with 'likely' = mild hedge. No numeric targets stated. The pullback/bear market mention is not extracted since no numeric reversal was provided.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC goes up (convincing people of a new Bull Run beginning). No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. The framing references a 'Bull Run beginning' — earnest macro language → Signal H base 120.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 478.99,
"mfe": 118.62,
"mqs": 0.155972,
"ocs": 0.198491,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-21 16:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.004081,
"sigma_d": 0.02102874,
"eval_end": "2026-07-21 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.155972,
"max_close": 66552.57,
"min_close": 66207.95,
"eval_start": "2026-07-21 16:29:24+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.169569,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.089636,
"activation_price": 66531.62,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 12,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010514,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}