Call Audit

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Passport #161519 · Jul 21, 2026 · 10:02 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@RektCapital

Jul 21, 2026 · 10:02 UTC

𝕏

Unpopular #BTC opinion The current 6-Month Candle could ultimately close as red $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@RektCapital's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	heavy_hedge
Duration	180 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster predicts the 6-month candle 'could ultimately close as red', which implies a down direction over that timeframe. 'Could' with 'ultimately' indicates heavy hedge. No specific price targets stated.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC 6-month candle closes red (directional down). 'The current 6-Month Candle' references a 6-month candle close as the evaluation window; D = 2026-07-21, so the current 6-month candle (H2 2026) closes Dec 31 2026 → 163 days, but '6-month candle' maps to the §3.2 phrase 'next 6 months / coming 6 months / H1 / H2' = 180. No outcome-anchored calendar phrase exists independently, so routing to §4: the 6-month candle framing is a chart-timeframe reference that implies a ~180-day horizon, matching Signal H's band is not appropriate (no macro language); instead the 6-month candle duration itself is the clearest signal, and §3.2 'H2' = 180 days applies as an explicit timeframe.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$66,360
Target	—
Duration	180 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	180
Duration used in scoring	180

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	heavy_hedge
Spot price at post	$66,360
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 596.14,
  "mfe": 307.38,
  "mqs": 0.318255,
  "ocs": 0.340203,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-21 18:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.008656,
  "sigma_d": 0.02100484,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-21 19:15:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.318255,
  "max_close": 66944.4,
  "min_close": 66180,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-21 10:02:52+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 180,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.383099,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.166778,
  "activation_price": 66360.01,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 37,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.012091,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}