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Passport #146142 · Jul 7, 2026 · 14:13 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
RE@RektCapital
Jul 7, 2026 · 14:13 UTC
𝕏 During this Summer Relief Rally...
Bitcoin will rally high enough to convince you that the Bear Market is over
And then it will resume its downtrend
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Per Stage 2, only the first leg (up rally) is scored. Direction is up based on 'will rally high enough'. No numeric target provided — 'high enough to convince you' is qualitative, not a price level. Declarative tone ('will rally').
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rallies high enough to convince the bear market is over. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. 'Summer Relief Rally' frames this as a seasonal/macro move; the rally-convincing-bears framing pairs with macro/trend-reversal register → Signal B2 with ↑ to 60 for macro/HTF framing.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,978 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 60 |
| Duration used in scoring | 60 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $62,978 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 306.62,
"mfe": 1265.74,
"mqs": 0.828027,
"ocs": 0.804994,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-07 17:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.064962,
"sigma_d": 0.02283339,
"eval_end": "2026-07-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.828027,
"max_close": 64231.99,
"min_close": 62937.99,
"eval_start": "2026-07-07 14:13:02+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 60,
"mew_days_used": 60,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.760415,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.674496,
"activation_price": 62978.01,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 22,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.011417,
"scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}